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Originally Posted by Moonbiter  <snip> Oh, apparently Georgia and South Ossetia was at war for most of the 90s. Did anybody know that? I didn't. That sure as hell didn't trigger the Third World War. <snip> |
Indeed - the situation is more complex then just "Russia Invades Georgia" and it is difficult to see through the "diplomacy" and lies and history and forming a firm opinion. Especially considering the "civil war" like state through the 90s, the history of USSR, WW2 and so on. My first thought was that Russia was just in it to annex SO and its oil resources and weaken Georgia, however it is difficult to judge given all the circumstances.
Nevertheless however, it could "upset" the entire region with more fighting between the local regions and ex-USSR nations causing a more unstable area then before. Chechnya is still a mess as well for example.
And with Russia having Veto in the UN, that system is effectively put out of effect in this situation.
Russia is desperately trying to prove they are once more a superpower in response to the missile defense system, and they are frequently flying warplanes close to other nations airspace (Denmark's including) for example. And this could just as easily be a result of internal Russian politics as well.
It is a mess this situation, however so are many other burning spots in the world. WW3 doesn't look to be one big war - it'll consists of many "localized" combat/warzones all over the world.
Iran(/Israel) or China to be the next hot spots.